Diversification of Investments - or, where do I start?

May 14th, 2008 Don Posted in 401k, Investing 3 Comments »

The decision to start an investment program is very important for a worry free financial future, whether to fund a retirement, kid’s college expenses, or just to have extra funds for great holiday vacations. The best place to start is through a company’s 401K investment program ( or 403b if it is non profit). If 401K’s are not an option, then setting up your own IRA account ( Roth type IRA’s are a good way to go ). Because the financial markets have their up’s and down’s your investment timing is best if done on a regular, monthly or quarterly type contribution. Maxing out your contribution is the best way to go, along as there is sufficient funds available for you other financial needs. In some cases, companies will match a percentage of your contribution — this is the one to really max out on.

So you make the decision to put some of your hard earned income into an investment program and you are presented with many options of where to place your contributions. It was real easy when I first made 401K contributions, as my company had only 3 options — a stock fund, a bond fund, or a money market fund. The choice was easy for a beginning career to place contributions into a stock fund to allow for maximum long term growth. In later years some of this money would go into bonds and near retirement more into fixed income type investments. Being a technical kind of guy, I looked at the long term growth charts the company provided and did some once a year moving of funds into bonds as there were time periods lasting up to 10 years when the stock market never gained anything (from 1972 to 1982, for example).

In today’s investment option list, there are usually many options to select from, and this can become confusing at times. This is where diversification comes in. There has been a lot written about Modern Portfolio Theory (more on this in later blogs) which points out how diversification of your investments can not only reduce your risk to market variations, but also provide a more stable growth of your assets.

By the way, for companies that give you their stock as matching funds to a 401K program, we have all learned about Enron and how that stock crashed, thus being careful about how much of your retirement assets are connected to your company is very important to not allow this to be your main source of assets (although I’m sure if you are lucky to have Google or Apple as your contributor, you may question this — yet look back at what happened to SUN (symbol now JAVA) when the bubble collapsed in the 2000-2002 time frame)

Now you are looking at investment choices for investing your 401K dollars. The usual way is via a selection of mutual funds offered by either your company’s 401K program or a brokers list of mutual funds for IRA’s. Starting out with your investment dollars, usually a good way is to used Open Ended Mututal Funds or Exchange Traded Funds (called ETF’s). There will be more the differences in upcoming chapters, but for now look at these as an instant way to diversify your investments as these investment vehicles will purchase a broad basket of stocks, bonds or hold cash in an interest bearing account. These funds have associated with them what is called “Style” and along with this “Size.” Below is a box for a Mid-Cap Blend fund, found on Yahoo’s Financial Website when a “profile” option is selected for such a fund.

Mid-Cap Blend
[View Category Definition]

This Category box basically suggests that not all mutual or ETF investments are created equal. The Style Value, for example indicates a company with solid earnings, whereas a Growth style indicates a company that is growing in size, but may not have great earnings. Blend funds are a combination of the two. Companies are also categorially identified by their sizes, smal to large. Size is defined as the number of outstanding shares times the price per share — Google being one of the largest, for example.

Now you ask, how is picking a mutual fund by style and size so important? To answer this, first go to this link,

http://www.callan.com/research/institute/download/?file=periodic/free/256.pdf

which is a periodic chart of investment results from 1988 to 2007. Looking just at 2007, the chart shows that the group of stocks represented by the Russell 2000 Value Index (small stocks with value orientation) did the worst and the best performers were foreign stocks represented by the MSCI EAFE (Europe, Asia and Far East) Index did the best. Notice though that over the years, there is no consistency — 1988 was great for Large Growth Stocks, but then by 2000 this same group was near the bottom.

This is why diversification for investments is important. You do not want to be the person who put all their investment eggs into a category right at the top (perhaps foreign stocks now?) only to find a year later that you lost 20 or more percent of that investment. This is why you not only spread your investments out over time, but also into many categories.

All for now — happy investing,

Don

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My Gosh, I now have a Blog!

May 13th, 2008 Don Posted in Investing No Comments »

Hello Financial Website Searchers,

I certainly had not expected to have my own Blog, however a very tuned-in son, Kevin, creates these in such an easy way for him that it was an easy choice to say “Yes.”

The first thought was, “What should I write about that is not already covered in the many sites out there?” You can read all about Google’s (GOOG) great earnings or Washington Mutual’s (WM) tailspin down due to the mortgage crisis in many other postings. In this blog you will see in the future comments about real and model portfolio’s based upon my over 20 years experience investing in the Financial Markets. You will not see statements to buy any investment, but you will see results of portfolio’s I have put together, either personally or though various models. You will also learn of my concerns for risk and how I deal with them. Risk is important, not only for keeping your portfolio from having wild gyrations, but for how you sleep at night. These should be connected together — risk in the market and your own comfort level. For starters a look at a web site may help you to evaluate your current mix of investments. If your investmens are similar to the overall market as defined by the SP500, then your risk is 100. You can reduce your risk by investing in more conservative investments.

http://www.riskgrades.com/

Here is right from their site…

ARE YOUR INVESTMENTS TOO RISKY? TOO CONSERVATIVE? NOT SURE?
Risk Analyzer evaluates the potential risk of your individual securities, your overall portfolio or your watch lists to help you make confident investment decisions.

“Input your portfolio for grading… and analyze the results against a host of benchmarks. What-if scenarios let you see whether… [certain trades] would improve your risk/return and diversification profile. You can also run your portfolio through events like Black Monday and Sept. 11 to see how it would have fared.”

In the next blog posting I’ll chat a bit about diversification of investments and how a balanced approach could lead to less volatility in your overall portfolio. For example this year has seen a Bull Market in Commodities (We all know about Gas prices — then there is even the cost of rice). Yet, these will pass in time, just as the hot Dot Com stocks of the late 1990’s did.

Then I’ll present some portfolio’s I track that do offer diversification through either Mutual Funds or Exchange Traded Funds (ETF’s).

Don

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